TRUMP 2.0: A New Dawn for Africa?

Philemon Jambaya

Zim Now Editor

As Donald Trump secures his second term as U.S. President, African leaders are extending congratulatory messages, hoping for a renewed diplomatic and economic partnership. Zimbabwe's President Emmerson Mnangagwa tweeted, "Zimbabwe stands ready to work with you," while Nigeria's Bola Tinubu expressed hopes for "reciprocal economic and development partnerships" between Africa and the U.S.

However, Trump's past record on Africa raises concerns. During his first term, he was accused of dismissing Africa, cutting funding, curbing immigration, and referring to some African nations as "shithole countries." Yet, he also introduced initiatives like Prosper Africa and the Development Finance Corporation to boost investment in Africa.

Trade and Investment: A Cause for Concern?

Trump's protectionist stance, epitomized by his "America First" slogan, has sparked worries about the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA). The act allows eligible African countries to export goods to the U.S. tax-free, but Trump has threatened to terminate it when it expires in 2025. This move could significantly impact South Africa's economy, one of the largest beneficiaries of AGOA.

Aid and Development: Will Trump Continue Biden's Legacy?

The U.S. is Africa's largest aid donor, having contributed $3.7 billion this financial year. However, Trump's previous administration proposed slashing foreign aid, which Congress rejected. With Republicans now controlling the Senate and House of Representatives, aid cuts may face less resistance.

Immigration and Security: Trump’s Hardline Stance

Trump's anti-immigration policies worry Africa, particularly his promise to deport one million undocumented immigrants. African migrants, fleeing war, persecution, and poverty, may face increased discrimination.

Russia’s Growing Influence: Will Trump Intervene?

As Russia expands its presence in Africa, providing military aid to countries battling jihadist militants, the U.S. is alarmed. Trump's past actions, such as supporting Nigeria's fight against Boko Haram, offer a glimmer of hope. However, his perceived closeness to Russian President Vladimir Putin raises questions about his willingness to counter Russian influence.

Sudan’s Civil War: Will Trump Care?

With Sudan's civil war raging on, Trump's transactional approach to foreign policy raises doubts about his willingness to intervene.

Ultimately, Trump's unorthodox approach to governance leaves Africa uncertain about what to expect. As analyst Mr. Moore notes, "Trump is very unorthodox in how he does everything. So one has to be pretty open to new things, not necessarily good things, but new things happening." Only time will tell how Trump 2.0 will shape Africa's future.