Zimbabwe has been given a 0.26% chance of winning the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), according to probability rankings released by global football data firm Opta Analyst.
The figures place Zimbabwe among the lowest-ranked teams in the 24-nation field, ahead of only Botswana, which carries a 0.12% chance.
Morocco top the list with the highest probability of winning the tournament at 19.16%, followed by Egypt at 12.75%, Algeria at 12.27% and Senegal at 11.66%. Nigeria complete the top five with a 7.59% chance.
Côte d’Ivoire (6.62%), Tunisia (6.61%), Mali (5.95%) and Cameroon (5.11%) also feature among the upper-ranked teams based on the statistical model.
Within the Southern African region, South Africa carry a 2.11% chance and Zambia 1.14%, reflecting comparatively stronger continental positions.
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Opta Analyst’s model uses team strength, recent results and historical performance to generate probability estimates, which are used to gauge competitive expectations ahead of the tournament.
Zimbabwe, returning to continental competition after its FIFA suspension was lifted, remains classified as an underdog based on the current projections.
The AFCON tournament is expected to draw significant interest as participating nations finalise preparations for the continental showcase.
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